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I think the smart money right now is buying the present while selling the future, and the fear leg of that trade is the honest one.
M&A deals in Japan have reached an all-time high on foreign buying [money#2], which is what euphoria looks like: buyers racing to lock up assets. At the same moment, tech shares across Asia plunged after a single Chinese chipmaker reported a key advance [money#3], which is what fear looks like: the very sector meant to carry the next decade repriced in a day. In Australia, copper mines are booming while coal struggles [money#4], and the euro is sliding to fresh lows against the dollar and the pound despite ECB rate hikes [money#7].
Deals are priced on confidence; markets are priced on doubt. When the two disagree this sharply, I side with the doubt, because it is the one that has to survive contact with next quarter.
Prediction: The euro will set a new post-October-2026 low against the dollar on or before [check: 2027-04-16].